Atonement wins Best Picture – Drama: Not overly surprising, but a little bit because No Country for Old Men was establishing itself as a juggernaut. I think this bodes well for Atonement because it secures it a Best Picture nomination, as people were questioning whether it would even receive a nomination. I think when the Academy Awards rolls around; No Country for Old Men will emerge victorious.Sweeney Todd wins Best Picture – Musical or Comedy: I have seen the two front-runners – Sweeney Todd and Juno – and always remained steadfast that Sweeney Todd should win. Similar to Atonement, I feel that this will secure a Best Picture nomination for it. Tim Burton’s musical falls into the same vein as Chicago, but I do not think it will have the legs to win Best Picture.
Daniel Day-Lewis wins Best Actor – Drama: His acceptance speech would have been four words: “I DRINK YOUR MILKSHAKE!” An easy choice and no surprise here.
Julie Christie wins Best Actress – Drama: I have not seen Away from Her, but I am told that Christie is stellar. She has received a lot praise and has won a few awards along the way already.
Johnny Depp wins Best Actor – Musical or Comedy: Similar to Day-Lewis, this is no surprise and Day-Lewis and Depp are the clear front-runners for the Oscars, with Day-Lewis having the significant edge right now.
Marie Cotillard wins Best Actress – Musical or Comedy: Like Away from Her, I have not seen La Vie en Rose, but I am not surprised that Cotillard won. While the movie may not have had excellent box office returns in America, it has a foreign audience and her turn is supposed to be spectacular. I thought that Ellen Page would have won for Juno because the Golden Globes like to reward younger talent, but she does have a bright future.
Javier Bardem wins Best Supporting Actor: Really? What hasn’t he won?
Cate Blanchett wins Best Supporting Actress: I figured Blanchett to be the long shot in this category. Roberts is beloved by the Hollywood Foreign Press, Tilda Swinton is heralded for all her work, Saoirse Ronan is the young talent, and Amy Ryan has won the most critic’s awards so far. This surprised me, but I would not expect a similar surprise at the Academy Awards.
Julian Schnabel wins Best Director: This was the hardest category to figure out. Burton, the Coen Brothers, and Ridley Scott are all veterans that the Hollywood Foreign Press enjoys, while Schnabel and Wright are newer filmmakers. I thought Scott had a great chance to win this award, but as a courtesy for his entire career. I think that the Coen Brothers may have lost some votes as the voters may have seen it as two different people, even though the Coens are incredibly idiosyncratic. Schnabel may have been rewarded because The Diving Bell and the Butterfly is getting no other love, but I would not regard this as a fluke. Schnabel will get an Oscar nomination.
No Country for Old Men wins Best Screenplay: A little surprising that it beat Juno because the dialogue is lifted from an articulate novel with a lot of speaking / thought process.
Atonement wins Best Score: Another easy choice. Watch out for There Will Be Blood though…
Ratatouille wins Best Animated Feature: No surprise here either. I think the Disney film could have encountered a problem if Persepolis was nominated.
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly wins Best Foreign Language Film: This is not surprising either.
Random Musings:
- I liked the brevity, though the speeches can be entertaining sometimes.
- More importantly, who was the male co-host? Sweet mother of mercy put that man out of his misery. The man was jumbled in his speech, continually called television shows “films,” and his analysis was horrid. When making comparisons to the Burton-Depp collaboration success over the years, the best pairing he could come up with was Di Caprio-Scorsese? What!? That is the best that he could do? It was ridiculous. Banish him to the far reaches of the globe and tell him to run along and play and never come back.
- James McAvoy’s clip from Atonement didn't even really feature him as the focus, which is a shame.
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Additional Note: The male co-host also said the following, "'No Country for Old Men' just crossed the $45 million dollar mark and is headed towards $100 million next."
In the words of the legendary Keith Jackson, "WHOA NELLY!"
Even though "The Queen" had minimal box office before the Golden Globes it did not pick up over $55 million after its wins. Sure, there is bound to be a slight surge in "No Country"'s business, but an additional $55 million?
The slowest movie to $100 million ever is "Unforgiven." It took 318 days for it to get to that mark, and it opened with a $15 million dollar weekend.
It's Academy Awards push saw it increase by 795 screens, which garnered $1.5 million. After its win, it got back to 1,000 screens and made $2.5 million at its peak weekend. In total, beginning with its Academy Awards push, the movie grossed an additional $24 million dollars.
Even with the numbers adjusted for inflation, assuming that "No Country" could pull in the same amount of people as "Unforgiven" it would top out at $90 million. Even that total is a bit of a stretch.
This is the type of analysis people would get if Duncan and I hosted filled in as hosts.
Damn skippy we'd be good hosts! Beyond our extensive movie knowledge and witty banter, we have a leg up on Nancy O'Dell and Billy Bush because the sound of our voices doesn't subconsciously urge viewers to hang themselves.
Nancy O'Dell and Billy Bush have nothing on Mary Hart, as far as I'm concerned. Oh my God. Let me just mention that there's a Seinfeld episode where her voice causes Kramer to convulse. Because it is truly that bad.
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